l*******r
发帖数: 3799 | |
s****d
发帖数: 1830 | 2 还不如希望
o8努力把tg惹毛了
tg拼命砸美元靠谱 |
l*******r
发帖数: 3799 | 3 That is the reason the market rebounce today.
Market expected EU will (announce to) bailout Greece. If not, we may see
another crash on Monday ... |
y*****l
发帖数: 5997 | 4 祈祷!
【在 l*******r 的大作中提到】
: That is the reason the market rebounce today.
: Market expected EU will (announce to) bailout Greece. If not, we may see
: another crash on Monday ...
|
c***m
发帖数: 2630 | 5 why? how big trouble does greece have? |
g*****u
发帖数: 14294 | 6 greece肯定bailout呀。他们总统的英语不错，美国口音。 |
s*******t
发帖数: 224 | 7 没用的，周一高开还是低走。
downtrend 开始，没这么快停的
【在 l*******r 的大作中提到】
: rt
|
l*******r
发帖数: 3799 | 8 If they have to default their debt ...
【在 c***m 的大作中提到】
: why? how big trouble does greece have?
|
c***m
发帖数: 2630 | 9 I am 70% sure Greece has no problem. This is all planned.
【在 l*******r 的大作中提到】
: If they have to default their debt ...
|
f*******t
发帖数: 1978 | 10 zan! even they agree to baiout greece, monday is still not so optimistic.
what about spain? will EU bail out all trouble countries in europe?
like that STUPID index: Spain, Turkey, UK, Portugal, Ireland, and Dubai(
this one is passed).
ha
【在 l*******r 的大作中提到】
: That is the reason the market rebounce today.
: Market expected EU will (announce to) bailout Greece. If not, we may see
: another crash on Monday ...
|
|
|
l*******r
发帖数: 3799 | 11 That is what the market expected, just like the Dubai crisis.
But what if ...
Small probability things did happen before, for example, Russian in 1998...
【在 c***m 的大作中提到】
: I am 70% sure Greece has no problem. This is all planned.
|
f*******t
发帖数: 1978 | 12 I like this, haha..if so, 1000 points drop in one day. can not wait to see
the new history, but seems the probability is so small, no country dare to
the first 8?
【在 l*******r 的大作中提到】
: That is what the market expected, just like the Dubai crisis.
: But what if ...
: Small probability things did happen before, for example, Russian in 1998...
|
l*******r
发帖数: 3799 | 13 I don't know. I don't think this is the thing we are able to predict ...
But I don't think EU is gonna risk EURO ..
If Greece starts to default, everyone is gonna dump Euro.
If EU save Greece, everyone probably thinks the debt crisis is over ...
see
to
【在 f*******t 的大作中提到】
: I like this, haha..if so, 1000 points drop in one day. can not wait to see
: the new history, but seems the probability is so small, no country dare to
: the first 8?
|
f*******t
发帖数: 1978 | 14 if they save greece, they have to save Portugal too, then Spain, then maybe
UK.....
【在 l*******r 的大作中提到】
: I don't know. I don't think this is the thing we are able to predict ...
: But I don't think EU is gonna risk EURO ..
: If Greece starts to default, everyone is gonna dump Euro.
: If EU save Greece, everyone probably thinks the debt crisis is over ...
:
: see
: to
|
l*******r
发帖数: 3799 | 15 I don't know...
I can only imagine that if EU decide to give up Greece, on Monday morning,
USD would probably rally 2% again, and Dow30 crash to 9000...
maybe
【在 f*******t 的大作中提到】
: if they save greece, they have to save Portugal too, then Spain, then maybe
: UK.....
|
r*m
发帖数: 16380 | 16 Don't you think that MM already knew something?
Hence, today's big fight back from the edge of crash. |
g*****u
发帖数: 14294 | 17 今天的下跌对后市影响不好。
The problem remains: Is the recent plunge just a correction like the prior
ones over the course of this momentum run, or does it signal the beginnining
of a new phase? |
g8
发帖数: 3784 | |
w*********b
发帖数: 1111 | 19 我觉得如果周一有crash到9000的危险的话，今天根本不会有这个龙霸。
【在 l*******r 的大作中提到】
: I don't know...
: I can only imagine that if EU decide to give up Greece, on Monday morning,
: USD would probably rally 2% again, and Dow30 crash to 9000...
:
: maybe
|
x*******l
发帖数: 542 | 20 有一个出问题，就bailout
像BSC, 迪拜
还出问题，再bailout
AIG，希腊？？
然后有一天，我靠，堵不住了...
就LEH了
【在 l*******r 的大作中提到】
: rt
|
|
|
k*******n
发帖数: 8891 | 21 I don't think Dow30 will crash. Maybe a new low, but will not crash. The
crash of EU is good for US, I think, just like last Thanksgiving. The hot money maybe flow back to US.
【在 l*******r 的大作中提到】
: I don't know...
: I can only imagine that if EU decide to give up Greece, on Monday morning,
: USD would probably rally 2% again, and Dow30 crash to 9000...
:
: maybe
|
e*n
发帖数: 1511 | 22 你们两的time frame不一样。
【在 k*******n 的大作中提到】
: I don't think Dow30 will crash. Maybe a new low, but will not crash. The
: crash of EU is good for US, I think, just like last Thanksgiving. The hot money maybe flow back to US.
|
k*******n
发帖数: 8891 | 23 我觉得最近美元的升值，一定时间内也不一定是坏事。
去年，美国大量印钞票，刺激美国经济，结果美元迅速贬值。但这是把双刃剑，会破坏
美元的霸主地位，我觉得美元的世界货币地位是美国的国本之一。于是乎各国反应很强
烈，都对美元口诛笔伐，都要取代美元，搞什么区域货币，海元和亚元就是例子。现在
谁还有人说这个事？大家兜了一大圈才发现，原来这个世界上，还是美元最安全，最保
值。
这样一来，连任的大本又可以安安心心地印他的钞票了。
还有一点就是，如果EU这次不bail out希腊，那么EU想用欧元取代美元的梦想就真的是
白日梦了！ |
l*******r
发帖数: 3799 | |
l*******r
发帖数: 3799 | 25 未来10年很难说把，如果美国的财政赤字象这样增加，迟早会失去AAA的地位。
【在 k*******n 的大作中提到】
: 我觉得最近美元的升值，一定时间内也不一定是坏事。
: 去年，美国大量印钞票，刺激美国经济，结果美元迅速贬值。但这是把双刃剑，会破坏
: 美元的霸主地位，我觉得美元的世界货币地位是美国的国本之一。于是乎各国反应很强
: 烈，都对美元口诛笔伐，都要取代美元，搞什么区域货币，海元和亚元就是例子。现在
: 谁还有人说这个事？大家兜了一大圈才发现，原来这个世界上，还是美元最安全，最保
: 值。
: 这样一来，连任的大本又可以安安心心地印他的钞票了。
: 还有一点就是，如果EU这次不bail out希腊，那么EU想用欧元取代美元的梦想就真的是
: 白日梦了！
|
k*******n
发帖数: 8891 | 26 这就看个度吧，还有timing。
最理想的结果就是美国通过美元贬值，使美国经济迅速得到恢复（这是最快地恢复经济的方式），但又不至于破坏美元的世界货币地位。等经济彻底恢复之后，然后通过增加税收等方式弥补财政赤字。想当年，克林顿上台之前，美国的经济情况跟现在类似；但是克林顿下台的时候，美国的财政可是巨大盈余的。
【在 l*******r 的大作中提到】
: 未来10年很难说把，如果美国的财政赤字象这样增加，迟早会失去AAA的地位。
|
W*****e
发帖数: 7759 | 27 Who is going to bail out California?
maybe
【在 f*******t 的大作中提到】
: if they save greece, they have to save Portugal too, then Spain, then maybe
: UK.....
|
C*G
发帖数: 7495 | |
