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发帖数: 7506 | 1 【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: ShowMeMoney (ShowMeMoney), 信区: Military
标 题: “末日博士”鲁比尼说他预测的全球经济“完美风暴”正在展开
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Jul 10 01:53:02 2012, 美东)
Roubini: My 'Perfect Storm' Is Unfolding Now
CNBC By Ansuya Harjani | CNBC
"Dr. Doom" Nouriel Roubini, says the "perfect storm" scenario he forecast
for the global economy earlier this year is unfolding right now as growth
slows in the U.S., Europe as well as China.
In May, Roubini predicted four elements - stalling growth in the U.S., debt
troubles in Europe, a slowdown in emerging markets, particularly China, and
military conflict in Iran - would come together in to create a storm for the
global economy in 2013.
"(The) 2013 perfect storm scenario I wrote on months ago is unfolding,"
Roubini said on Twitter on Monday.
Chinese inflation data released on Monday, suggested that the economy is
cooling faster than expected, while employment data out of the U.S. on
Friday indicated that jobs growth was tepid for a fourth straight month in
June.
Roubini said that unlike in 2008 when central banks had "policy bullets" to
stimulate the global economy, this time around policymakers are "running out
of rabbits to pull out of the hat."
Policy easing moves by the European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of England (BoE
) and the People's Bank of China (PBoC) last week did little to inspire
confidence in global stock markets.
"Levitational force of policy easing can only temporarily lift asset prices
as gravitational forces of weaker fundamentals dominate over time," he said.
Bill Smead, CEO of Smead Capital Management, agrees that there is little
central banks can do arrest the global slowdown.
Last week, he told CNBC that there is "virtually zero chance" that pump-
priming by central banks will succeed, suggesting that policymakers should
instead let the economic bust work itself through the system. |
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