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Basketball版 - 转帖:林和哈登的失误分析
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1 (共1页)
d*****a
发帖数: 453
1
But here's the stat that really was a wake up call
Lin TO
Last 9: 2.1
Prior 12: 4
Harden TO
Last 9: 5.1
Prior 12: 2.6
Lin has dramatically cut down on his turnovers while Harden's has increased.
Meanwhile Lin assists have dropped by 3 per game and Harden has stayed
about the same.
What this says is this: Harden is handling the ball a lot more, and isn't
necessarily getting his teammates involved. He is shooting more 3's and
turning the ball over more and scoring a lot less while playing more minutes.
Lin on the other hand, is still taking the ball to the hole, but he is
passing the ball for assists a lot lot less. He's cut down on his jump shots
as well. He's playing more conservatively...taking less risks with the ball
. Problem is, it's hurting the team because his teammates are getting set-up
for less easy buckets.
Seems pretty clear that Lin needs to look to penetrate and dish a lot more -
even if it leads to more turnovers. And Harden needs to handle the ball
less. A lot less.
Lin is clearly a superior point guard at this stage, and Harden is the
superior scorer. Lin should have the balls in his hands more and not pass it
off so early but look to get assists (not just pass it 10 feet to a
perimeter guy)....and Harden should get the ball more as a set-up 3 point
shooter or when the defense has been brooken down a bit. But Harden is not
making 3's when he has the ball more - meaning he might be a better set-up
shooter than an off the dribble type.
During Linsanity, critics latched onto the high TO's as the only thing they
could really criticize in the middle of the run. But what they conveniently
ignored was that the Knicks's total TO's decreased as as result of Lin's TO'
s increasing. Counter intuitive as it may be, Lin shouldered the playmaking
and accumulated the TO's, but when he was off the floor, the entire Knick's
team's TO's increased.
So the choice for D'Antoni was:
1) Lin takes over the ballhandling, playmaking, and running the offense. His
TO's increase. Knicks's overall TO's decrease.
2) Take Lin off the floor, or take him out of the ball-handling role, or
have him play conservatively. Lin's TO's decrease. Knicks's overall TO's
increased.
This counter-intuitive principle was something that critics during Linsanity
ignored when they only pointed to his high TO's. The team's overall TO's
decreased as a result of Lin's personal TO's increasing.
The Rockets have different personnel and system from the Linsanity Knicks,
so I'm not sure how accurately that principle translates. Perhaps someone
can put up stats for Lin's TO's vs. Team TO's for the minutes he's on the
floor as the ballhandler and playmaker compared to Team TO's when Harden or
someone else assumes the ballhandler role on the Rockets. It would be
interesting to see if that counter-intuitive property from Linsanity carried
over or not.
d*****a
发帖数: 453
2
还有一个问题是,只要林一失误,麦克海尔这货马上把林bench。
哎,越分析,我心里越堵得慌。虽然丹东尼也是个水货教练,但是比冰箱也好出几条街
去了。
l******u
发帖数: 1174
3
这个教练是rookie killer.

【在 d*****a 的大作中提到】
: 还有一个问题是,只要林一失误,麦克海尔这货马上把林bench。
: 哎,越分析,我心里越堵得慌。虽然丹东尼也是个水货教练,但是比冰箱也好出几条街
: 去了。

a****t
发帖数: 7049
4
当教练挺难的,既要有智商理解和分析数据,又要有情商处理和球猩的关系。更何况这
些教练,又不是啥拔尖背景,最多是自己打过球,还不一定有说服力。
d*****a
发帖数: 453
5
林的失误数据很‘漂亮’啊
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