G*******9
发帖数: 35 | 1 source: wiki
As early as June 2015, FiveThirtyEight argued that Donald Trump "isn't a
real candidate"[84] and maintained that Trump could not win the nomination
until late in the election season.[85] When Donald Trump became the
presumptive Republican nominee in May 2016, New York Times media columnist
Jim Rutenberg wrote that "predictions can have consequences" and criticized
FiveThirtyEight for underestimating Trump's chances. He argued that by
giving "Mr. Trump a 2 percent chance at the nomi... 阅读全帖 |
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l****u
发帖数: 3130 | 2 According to a report from Bank of America's Merrill Lynch that was released
on Wednesday, their model puts the chances of the U.S. falling into
recession above 80%. This varies widely from other economists such as the
Fed's Thomas Hoenig, who on Thursday told CNBC the chances of recession were
closer to 20%.
According to BofA/Merrill, the drivers behind the spike in the chances for
recession are the two most recent economic reports – the Philly Fed Index
and the University of Michigan's Sentime... 阅读全帖 |
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r*s
发帖数: 2555 | 3 According to the blog fivethirtyeight, operated by statistician Nate Silver,
Tech has a 1 percent chance of making it into the four-team field for the
College Football Playoff.
The assessment was based on 10,000 simulations of the weekend’s games. No.
11 Tech is given a 36 percent chance of winning. The Jackets would need help
after that. In one possible scenario, Tech might have a chance if No. 1
Alabama beat No. 16 Missouri in the SEC title game,
No. 2 Oregon beat No. 7 Arizona,
No. 3 TC... 阅读全帖 |
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l********s
发帖数: 395 | 4 Brief: husband AP in 3rd tire univ. Me: postdoc in a top program, in long
distance 3rd year. We both graduated
from top PhD programs.
I asked a similar question a little while ago. I applied for 13 jobs in my
husband's university with no results,
recently I applied for the non-tenure track job at my husband's univ and
still waiting for feedback (we are
giving it up for his place). We are also trying to apply other universities,
meanwhile I started to look for
company jobs, and looks like I will ... 阅读全帖 |
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a*****e
发帖数: 1700 | 5 今天在 ebay 上拍个 smart phone，被 outbid 了，结果现在收到
second chance offer，感觉不太对劲：
1. 此人最近一次有个差评，总共也就 32 个评价，85.7%
2. 最后十秒钟三个人出价，我用的 sniper，被另外两个 outbid。
最后的 winning bidder 是 0 记录，怀疑是马甲
现在还不到 8 个钟头，我就收到 second chance offer，另一个
比我出价高一点的 bidder 为什么没有收到 second chance，或者
收到后据绝了？
这个记录的 item number: 180555310585
感觉不太好，不知道要不要跳。有经验的前辈请指点一下吧，我发包子。 |
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g********e
发帖数: 1638 | 6 70% chance is over estimated.
If you file Eb1b, the chance is around 80%.
If you file Eb1a, the chance is around 50%. |
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S********r
发帖数: 349 | 7 SD的纬度要是再往北一点就好了。。。
http://www.signonsandiego.com/news/2010/aug/03/tiny-chance-youll-see-northern-lights-tonight/?sciquest
Tiny chance you'll see northern lights tonight
By Gary Robbins, UNION-TRIBUNE STAFF WRITER
Tuesday, August 3, 2010 at 6:19 p.m.
Latest solar images from the GOES-14 satellite.
There's a tiny chance -- and we mean tiny -- that the aurora borealis will
be briefly visible from the darkest areas of San Diego County late tonight.
The sun produced a couple of large solar flares ove |
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j****7
发帖数: 667 | 8 FIGHT and you may DIE, RUN and you'll LIVE,
for at least a while.
And dying in your beds, many years from now,
would you be willing to trade all the days from this day to that,
FOR ONE CHANCE, JUST ONE CHANCE,
to come back here and tell our enemies,
that they may take our lives,
but they'll NEVER take our FREEDOM! |
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a****7
发帖数: 295 | 9 These are not reason that he will get a grand slam.
These only support that he has better chance than other 22 yrs to win a
grand slam. These are very good chance that none of current 22 yrs player
would get a grand slam giving the dominance of DJokovic and Murray.
The chance we are talking is probably 0.1% vs 0.01%. |
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d******i
发帖数: 3957 | 10 【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: subzero8080 (Chilling), 信区: Military
标 题: 【原创大图】Lien根本就没撞到Cruz。Mieses和打人的Chance都撒
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Oct 4 16:12:16 2013, 美东)
UPDATE: 修改过的版本见36楼。多谢fifaxyj提醒。
Mieses说他下车去照料被撞倒的Cruz，其实人家根本就没倒。
砸窗户的Reginald Chance竟然大言不惭的说Lien该打，因为他被Lien从bike上面撞下
来了：
http://www.myfoxny.com/story/23583565/bikers-were-the-victims |
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w******p
发帖数: 62 | 11 【 以下文字转载自 RisingChina 讨论区 】
发信人: windowsp (zgd), 信区: RisingChina
标 题: a good chance letting foreigners to understand China and Chinese better
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed May 14 01:27:12 2008)
Since we have few things to do to directly help our folks, we may do
something relevant to help our country: take this as a good chance letting
your foreign friends to understand China and Chinese better. If so, we can
somehow change the disaster into kind of not worst thing. Here is what I am
going to email to my |
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W*******n
发帖数: 4140 | 13 Syrian Administration SHOULD Take the Golden Chance to Help the Kurds
by Limin Wang
Oct. 12, 2019
What some Kurds did during the past several years of rebellion should be
punishable. But, if the Syrian Administration really does not take this
Turkish invasion chance to move across to the northeast, Syria may lose this
piece of territory forever. Please separate the puppets from the people. |
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g**1
发帖数: 10330 | 14 http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-20389148
SpaceX CEO Elon Musk: 'Europe's rocket has no chance'
By Jonathan Amos
Science correspondent, BBC News
The Californian SpaceX chief executive Elon Musk has warned Europe it must
replace its Ariane 5 rocket if it wants to keep up with his company.
The low prices the US entrepreneur is quoting for his new Falcon 9 vehicle
mean it is winning contracts that in the past would have gone to Ariane.
Mr Musk said that the cost of producing the curren... 阅读全帖 |
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O**e
发帖数: 569 | 15 Second chance for U.S. women’s 4x100m after botched exchange
http://www.nbcolympics.com/news/second-chance-us-womens-4x100m-after-botched-exchange
August 18, 2016 at 11:45am CT
By:
Seth Rubinroit
The U.S. women’s 4x100m team needs to run faster than 42.70 seconds tonight
in a special time trial to advance to the final
A botched handover between Allyson Felix and English Gardner appeared to
eliminate the U.S. team from contention to defend its Olympic 4x100m gold
medal. But now the U.S. will have... 阅读全帖 |
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t***o
发帖数: 462 | 16 【 以下文字转载自 USANews 讨论区 】
发信人: CaoTeLe (曹特勒), 信区: USANews
标 题: Hillary's chance to win Democratic primary
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Mar 10 19:39:39 2008), 转信
As I said before (in fact lots of people said the same thing), Hillary's
chance to win Democratic primary relies on:
1, Florida Michigan results count in or do-over
2, superdelegates' support
the first one is very possible now and even if it is a do-over,
at least in Florida the result is pretty much the same as it was
over 1 month ago, for Michig |
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S*******i
发帖数: 2018 | 19 http://www.wsj.com/articles/in-the-mideast-trump-gives-reality-a-chance-1514330434
A lot of people are in a funk over President Trump’s decision to recognize
Jerusalem as Israel’s capital. The liberal media, most former government
officials who’ve dealt with the Israeli–Palestinian imbroglio, and just
about everyone at the United Nations appear certain that the decision had a
lot to do with Mr. Trump’s disruptive nature, the president’s son-in-law
Jared Kushner, Evangelical Christians and pro-Is... 阅读全帖 |
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s*********0
发帖数: 2045 | 20 【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: subzero8080 (Chilling), 信区: Military
标 题: 【原创大图】Lien根本就没撞到Cruz。Mieses和打人的Chance都撒谎了
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Oct 4 16:12:16 2013, 美东)
Mieses说他下车去照料被撞倒的Cruz，其实人家根本就没倒。
砸窗户的Reginald Chance竟然大言不惭的说Lien该打，因为他被Lien从bike上面撞下
来了：
http://www.myfoxny.com/story/23583565/bikers-were-the-victims |
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C*******e
发帖数: 41 | 21 后天上午10点的飞机回国，看天气预报，明天晚上7点到后天早上3点是snow,3点之后是
chance of snow，也有地方说是chance of snow shower。这种情况会影响飞机正常起
飞吗？我转机时间只有1个小时，如果晚点超过1个小时，就赶不上回国的航班了。。。 |
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l********g
发帖数: 400 | 22 Non-tenure track record 不会 hurt 你的 chance. 但你现在的这种心态肯定会 hurt
你的 chance. |
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l*********d
发帖数: 73 | 23 【 以下文字转载自 Immigration 讨论区 】
发信人: lookforward (dadu), 信区: Immigration
标 题: will working for FDA enhance the chance to get EB1A approved?
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Aug 12 15:30:33 2011, 美东)
I am wondering if working for FDA as a postdoc can enhance the chance for
EB1A, comparing to the post-doc jobs at other universities.
If I have another offer with a small non-profit lab that will sponsor me
EB1B, will this offer be better than FDA offer in terms of green card
application? |
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y***e
发帖数: 6082 | 24 在啥地方工作跟1A基本没啥关系，1B也就出示个在职证明罢了
【 以下文字转载自 Immigration 讨论区 】
发信人: lookforward (dadu), 信区: Immigration
标 题: will working for FDA enhance the chance to get EB1A approved?
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Aug 12 15:30:33 2011, 美东)
I am wondering if working for FDA as a postdoc can enhance the chance for
EB1A, comparing to the post-doc jobs at other universities.
If I have another offer with a small non-profit lab that will sponsor me
EB1B, will this offer be better than FDA offer in terms of green card
applicati... 阅读全帖 |
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y********g
发帖数: 3097 | 25 【 以下文字转载自 FleaMarket 讨论区 】
发信人: yonghehong (yonghehong), 信区: FleaMarket
标 题: [出售]正装chanel chance 香水
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Dec 5 23:09:58 2011, 美东)
正装chanel香水
chanel chance
数量up to you
价格pm我. |
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e****n
发帖数: 295 | 26 一般说second chance offer是有人bid到了以后跟卖家联系cancel bid
我遇到过这种情况，second chance offer也是按我当时的出价给的，交易正常
不过你说的情况不碰为妙，似乎挺诡异 |
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c*********o
发帖数: 8367 | 27 Chances of Double Dip Now Over 40%: Roubini
cnbc
*
Share
*
retweet
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On Thursday August 26, 2010, 12:12 pm EDT
The chances of a double-dip recession are now more than 40 percent and
policymakers have options to stimulate the economy, Nouriel Roubini of
Roubini Global Economics told CNBC Thursday.
Second-quarter gross domestic product growth will be revised down to an a
annual rate of 1.2 percent from an initial reading of 2.4 percent, Roubini
said, addin |
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h**y
发帖数: 81 | 28 如果真是last chance,说明马上到顶了。
如果不是last chance,那急个啥。 |
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d******8
发帖数: 1972 | 29 Reuters) - The European debt crisis is raising the odds of a U.S. recession,
with economic contraction more likely than not by early 2012, according to
research from the San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank.
While it is difficult to gauge the odds precisely, an analysis of leading U.
S. economic indicators suggests a rising chance of a recession through the
end of the year and into early next year, researchers at the regional Fed
bank wrote on Monday. The risk of recession recedes after the second... 阅读全帖 |
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g****t
发帖数: 31659 | 30 Nothing indicates that it will be a good end. The economic and technical
capabilities of the established societies are sufficiently vast to allow for
adjustments and concessions to the underdog, and their armed forces
sufficiently trained and equipped to take care of emergency situations.
However, the spectre is there again, inside and outside the frontiers of the
advanced societies. The facile historical parallel with the barbarians
threatening the empire of civilization prejudges the issue; th... 阅读全帖 |
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i*****u
发帖数: 776 | 31 Here are some updates: emailed 3 lawyers. One said doable; one said 40%
chance; one said no chance. |
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b*****d
发帖数: 669 | 32 chance for what, EB1A, EB1B or NIW?
anyway, you have good chances for all the above. |
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b*****f
发帖数: 851 | 33 如题，刘宗坤律师所评估我的EB1A说Reasonable chance to be approved under
normal circumstance（不过当时只有3次审稿，现在已经有10次了）。
如果刘律师事务所评估说Reasonable chance for EB1A,那是说明希望不太，还是怎么
个水平呢？
盼赐教，多谢。 |
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m*****a
发帖数: 636 | 34 positive sign
如题，刘宗坤律师所评估我的EB1A说Reasonable chance to be approved under
normal circumstance（不过当时只有3次审稿，现在已经有10次了）。
如果刘律师事务所评估说Reasonable chance for EB1A,那是说明希望不太，还是怎么
个水平呢？
盼赐教，多谢。 |
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f*********e
发帖数: 1144 | 35 For some reason, I need to file GC application asap. just started talking to
company legal, but didn't get to the point of official evaluation. based on
initial conversation, I have impression our company sets a really high bar
for helping with EB1b, they require top 3% in the field (or by nature I am
just under qualified)....Can somebody help me take a look at my case, and
advise if I even have a chance?
1. phd in bio/chem area, program ranking top10 in
biomedicalresearch
2. nearly two years... 阅读全帖 |
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N********n
发帖数: 13236 | 36 【 以下文字转载自 Joke 讨论区 】
发信人: dfbb (东方不败), 信区: Joke
标 题: 大家看看我的chance怎么样 (转载)
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Mon Apr 28 10:34:43 2014, 美东)
发信人: TossElmo (Higher), 信区: Piebridge
标 题: 大家看看我的chance怎么样
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Apr 27 15:36:46 2014, 美东)
本人四十出头大叔，IT行业，年薪九万多，中部中等城市，老婆同龄，年薪比我多几千
。目前只有一孩，老婆38岁所生。我目前中年危机，工作稳定不累， 但升职遇到天花
板。老婆嫌我挣钱没她多。逼我换高薪工作。老婆人比较强势，家里上海人。自打有了
孩子，一心扑在孩子上，我们目前分房睡，已经过了几年无性婚姻。吃饭也分开做，她
给孩子和她做，懒得给我做，我都自己做，连食材也自己买。我很爱孩子，老婆也是。
所以宁可守着这样的日子。最近孩子健康出现一些状况。我们意见分歧很大，老婆全听
信中医的丈母娘那一套，我是对中医信任为零。
就一个孩子，健康一旦出现闪失的... 阅读全帖 |
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m****s
发帖数: 8992 | 37 Good Morning!
Today is the last chance to clean out any ice in driveway and sidewalks.
Last chance to dig out small maroon BMWs and store them in better spots.
Rain tonight..then snow...then more winter. |
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g*******a
发帖数: 31586 | 38 【 以下文字转载自 Joke 讨论区 】
发信人: repeating (千王之王), 信区: Joke
标 题: LAST CHANCE: 俱乐部来古板拉人 (转载)
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Jul 9 16:53:17 2013, 美东)
发信人: DADofBuffet (老宋), 信区: Stock
标 题: LAST CHANCE: 俱乐部来古板拉人
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Jul 9 16:50:09 2013, 美东)
VERY SEXY |
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p**f
发帖数: 3549 | 39 电视上说，
接下七天，40～50% chance发送5级余震。
10～15% chance, 这是更大地震的前奏。 |
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M****e
发帖数: 1132 | 40 Statistics shows only 4% teams that were trailing 1-3 overcame the deficit.
But that's because most leading teams were better ones. This might not be
the case in this series.
If odds of a game between GS and OKC is 50-50, then GS has a chance of 1/8
to reach final.
And I believe GS is still a better team. If GS win rate at home is 70%, and
45% away, they still got 20% chance. |
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v*******l
发帖数: 5042 | 41 【 以下文字转载自 Fly_Fishing_Club 俱乐部 】
发信人: vanfossil (色鱼), 信区: Fly_Fishing_Club
标 题: 水之殇----last chance cripple
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Jan 20 01:49:51 2010, 美东)
破茧那一刻才知生命之可贵！不要怀念哥，哥只是个传说……
这款Dry fly叫做“Last Chance Cripple”，意思就是指昆虫（估计也是摇蚊什么的）在羽化的最后一刻，因为各种原因失败，也许是外部原因、或许是精疲力尽，没能完成破茧，渴望飞翔但功败垂成，最后成为鱼儿的食物。记得小的时候抓到了“知了龟”（蝉的幼虫），放在蚊帐里面看它变成蝉，有一些就羽化失败了……
前一阵子在国内网站还和鱼友们讨论如何翻译，琢磨了许久，取一殇字，意为未成年就死去，有点晦涩，哈哈。
看图应该可以做出，不难。 |
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m******h
发帖数: 5753 | 42 ☆─────────────────────────────────────☆
vanfossil (色鱼) 于 (Wed Jan 20 02:28:37 2010, 美东) 提到:
【 以下文字转载自 Fly_Fishing_Club 俱乐部 】
发信人: vanfossil (色鱼), 信区: Fly_Fishing_Club
标 题: 水之殇----last chance cripple
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Jan 20 01:49:51 2010, 美东)
破茧那一刻才知生命之可贵！不要怀念哥，哥只是个传说……
这款Dry fly叫做“Last Chance Cripple”，意思就是指昆虫（估计也是摇蚊什么的）在羽化的最后一刻，因为各种原因失败，也许是外部原因、或许是精疲力尽，没能完成破茧，渴望飞翔但功败垂成，最后成为鱼儿的食物。记得小的时候抓到了“知了龟”（蝉的幼虫），放在蚊帐里
涑刹酰幸恍┚陀鸹О芰
前一阵子在国内网站还和鱼友们讨论如何翻译，琢磨了许久，取一殇字，意为未成年就死去，有点晦涩，哈哈。
看图应该可以做出，不难。
☆─────── |
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H*****r
发帖数: 764 | 43 Mark Emmert, you have lost our confidence in your ability to do the job.
The next time you speak, we won't be able to take you seriously thanks to
news that Ohio State would not face additional charges of failure to monitor
or lack of institutional control in the school's infraction case.
'It's all about what the NCAA can prove, not what we've read' is the company
line. Well, you had a chance to prove things but you said you weren't going
to try.
CBSSports.com took a thorough look at cheating in... 阅读全帖 |
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a***n
发帖数: 5520 | 44 NC State has a chance of getting into final four with beating No.1, No.2 and
No.3 seeds....
see which chance sounds better? |
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K****D
发帖数: 30533 | 45 Having the best chance among 22 year olds means *possibly* having the best
chance among 25 year olds 3 years later.
The tide has to be turned at a point. I don't believe a couple of 29 year
olds can dominate all the slams. |
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d*****r
发帖数: 39446 | 46 【此篇文章是由自动发信系统所张贴】
⊙ 博彩开启于：Tue Nov 3 10:55:12 2009 类别：单选
⊙ 主题：2nd chance: Phil Ivey
⊙ 博彩题目描述：
Another chance for you late guys.
Ivey currently stands as 7th, how well will he finish?
1. Darvin Moon — $58,930,000
2. Eric Buchman — $34,800,000
3. Steven Begleiter — $29,885,000
4. Jeff Shulman — $19,580,000
5. Joe Cada — $13,215,000
6. Kevin Schaffel — $12,390,000
7. Phil Ivey — $9,765,000
8. Antoine Saout - $9,500,000
9. James Akenhead — $6,800,000
【选项如下】
(1) 1st-3rd |
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d*****r
发帖数: 39446 | 47 【此篇文章是由自动发信系统所张贴】
⊙ 博彩开启于：Tue Nov 3 10:57:03 2009 类别：单选
⊙ 主题：2nd chance: WSOP Nov. 9
⊙ 博彩题目描述：
Another chance for you late guys to gamble:
Current chip count for the "Nov. 9"
1. Darvin Moon — $58,930,000
2. Eric Buchman — $34,800,000
3. Steven Begleiter — $29,885,000
4. Jeff Shulman — $19,580,000
5. Joe Cada — $13,215,000
6. Kevin Schaffel — $12,390,000
7. Phil Ivey — $9,765,000
8. Antoine Saout - $9,500,000
9. James Akenhead — $6,800,000
【选项如下】
(1) Darvin Moon |
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